Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 4 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.5% on 7 Feb 2026. $25.2K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 9:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 25.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| before2027 | Yes | 461.66 |
| NEXEN1 | Yes | 284.38 |
| t3u | Yes | 166 |
| JustBot | Yes | 151.68 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 150 |
| alivip | Yes | 83 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 32 |
| 0x152 | Yes | 30 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethena hit in February?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-in-february
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