Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63.5%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 15 Sep 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 60% on 13 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 60% on 13 Sep 2026. $147.85 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 15, 10:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 15 Sep 2026, chart shows 55%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 73.5% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| a5533 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2, currently scheduled for July 20, 2026 to September 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/circuito-desafiante-2026-split-2-winner-1788883386086
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