Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

sportsResolved

No, settled Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$25.4K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBallon d'Or Soccer

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 36.5% on 10 Aug 2026. $25.45K traded over the market's life.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 11:16 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Prickly-Eyrie	Yes	4.33K
ABC12345654321	Yes	1.35K
TimeTraveler	Yes	867.63

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erling Haaland officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.