Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points down, to 3.8% on 9 Aug 2026. $10.96K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 11:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 11.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Huye168 | Yes | 1.96K |
| chessplayer | Yes | 653.48 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 529.08 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erling Haaland officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026
| Yes |
| 313 |
| KeithStarmer | Yes | 291 |
| Indigo Summit 785E | Yes | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 134.76 |
| Anjun | Yes | 111 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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