Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 16.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 2 Mar 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 13% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 55% on 26 Dec 2025. $21.7K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 2 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 41.0% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 995.46 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 93.54 |
| company-tag-scan | Yes | 54 |
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-actor-awards-winner-best-actress-tv-movie-or-limited-series
| Yes |
| 50 |
| Cosmic Horizon 2E7A | Yes | 49.89 |
| kalytics | Yes | 43.24 |
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| Solar Pulse B122 | Yes | 5 |
| mdgc | Yes | 5 |
| Pesky-Cranberry | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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