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“Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
Trading is open until Oct 1, 2026. As of Sep 15, 2:29 PM, Yes trades at 12.0¢, a 12.0% implied chance, $228.19 traded in the last 24 hours, $1.05K resting in the order book, a 2.0% bid-ask spread.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 25 hourly price points from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 15, 2026 (Yes between 11.0% and 12.5%); 43 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 76.8% of the loaded shares; 103 recent public fills from 51 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified person posts a qualifying textual reference to Hunter Biden's Laptop memecoin ($LAPTOP) on their accounts listed below between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant accounts are: Donald Trump: X - @realDonaldTrump; Truth Social - @realDonaldTrump Elon Musk: X - @elonmusk Donald Trump Jr.: X - @DonaldJTrumpJr; Truth Social- @DonaldJTrumpJr Eric Trump: X - @EricTrump; Truth Social - @EricTrump Changpeng Zhao (CZ): X- @cz_binance Mike Winkelmann (Beeple): X - @beeple To qualify, a post's text must clearly refer to Hunter Biden's Laptop memecoin through language such as "Laptop Coin", "Laptop Token", "$Laptop", "Hunter Biden's New Coin", or an equivalently clear reference to the token. The word "laptop" alone, without context that clearly identifies the token, will not qualify. References solely to Hunter Biden's physical laptop, the Hunter Biden laptop controversy, its contents, related investigations, or any associated political events will not alone qualify. For the purposes of this market, all text posted by such accounts in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts counts toward a "Yes" resolution, but text within quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution only if a qualifying reference appears in text within the content (e.g., "$LAPTOP" spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify; a reference appearing only within an animated .gif or video will not). Words spoken aloud in videos, livestreams, or audio content will not count toward a "Yes" resolution; only posted text qualifies. Posts published from an account during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by the account owner or the platform, do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be X & Truth Social, specifically the account pages for the listed accounts.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eric-trump-post-about-laptop-by-september-30
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaI | No | 730 |
| WillBeQuant | No | 571.69 |
| rocky42025 | Yes | 300 |
| TestingMyGangster | Yes | 280.51 |
| rouxshan | Yes | 150 |
| Miserable-Terminology | Yes | 108.04 |
| Silver Pioneer D5DE | Yes | 100 |
| nana130299 | Yes | 100 |
| chessplayer | No | 100 |
| lplplplplplp | Yes | 80 |