Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Resolved

No, settled May 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3M

Resolved

Settled

May 24, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 21 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2026 to 24 May 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 May 2026. $1.28M traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 25, 12:18 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 21 Feb 2026 – 24 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	292.27K
neutralwave23	Yes	19.02K
welcomyfriend	Yes	17.1K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).