
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 8 Sep 2026, the price held at 0.1%. $75.07K traded over the market's life.
154 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 2:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 8 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.37M |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 817.15K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 395.82K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 338.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
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