
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 53% on 21 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 27 Feb 2026 and the low 1.8% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 7% on 5 Mar 2026.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 5:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 21 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | 53.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 1.8% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Animated-Gamebird | Yes | 57.14 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 50.12 |
| Kanelegend3 | Yes | 31.21 |
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 18.79 |
| Weighty-Ticket | Yes | 10 |
| Timstaune | Yes | 8.55 |
| washedkeepsclicking | Yes | 5.49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Apple is scheduled to host an event in New York City on March 4, 2026. (see: https://9to5mac.com/2026/02/16/apple-announces-special-nyc-event-for-march-4/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the Apple event scheduled for March 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by March 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be audio/video of this event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-the-nyc-apple-event
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