Analytics
Resolved No on 21 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13% on 18 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 May 2024 to 21 May 2024, the highest close was 13% on 18 May 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points down, to 3.8% on 19 May 2024. $44.03K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 7:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 May 2024 – 21 May 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 May 2024 | 13.0% |
| 21 May 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.14K |
| dopefgh | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-elon-musk-tweets-between-may-17-and-may-24
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