
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2025 to 16 Jan 2025, the highest close was 7.3% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 16 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points down, to 0.8% on 16 Jan 2025. $67.92K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 6:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 16 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | 1.3% |
| 16 Jan 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.07K |
| AndreyGustoy | Yes | 1.64K |
| LoraK | Yes | 1.11K |
| 22323wsss | Yes | 249.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between January 10 and January 17.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-10-17-25-strikes
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| liske | Yes | 10 |
| jeke1 | Yes | 5 |
| megagrim | No | 0.06 |