Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 27 Aug 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 25 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.5% on 26 Aug 2024. $15.31K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 28, 1:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 27 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 12.0% |
| 27 Aug 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.82K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 665.34 |
| Pr1meNova | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 23-30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-23-30
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