Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 30 Aug 2024, the highest close was 18.9% on 29 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Aug 2024. $31.52K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 1:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 30 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 8.5% |
| 30 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.82K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 390.6 |
| 5461 | Yes | 147.27 |
| DoughJones | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 23-30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-23-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hot-097 | No | 0.03 |
| lexfry11 | Yes | 0.01 |
| moviesera92 | Yes | 0.01 |
