Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 13.5% on 21 Aug 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 4.5% on 22 Aug 2024. $15.6K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 3:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 8.5% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.67K |
| turtle2000 | Yes | 146.67 |
| Primary-Mansion | Yes | 19.9 |
| DerryTavis | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 16-23?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-16-23
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