Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 15% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 26 Jul 2024, the highest close was 29.6% on 25 Jul 2024 and the lowest 4.3% on 23 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 18.6% on 24 Jul 2024. $42.26K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 3:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 26 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 15.0% |
| 26 Jul 2024 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.08K |
| polytradoor | Yes | 100.02 |
| spian230 | Yes | 60 |
| HANDCREAM33 | Yes | 15.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asda
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-19-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Violet Maven E624 | Yes | 13.7 |
| Unwelcome-Glance | Yes | 0.07 |
| Untidy-Rat | No | 0.07 |
| MISDC22 | No | 0.04 |
| 0x21 | No | 0.02 |
| PolyPros.xyz | Yes | 0.02 |
