Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 13 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2024 to 17 Jul 2024, the highest close was 52% on 14 Jul 2024 and the lowest 2.2% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 52% on 14 Jul 2024. $6.6K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 4:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Jul 2024 – 17 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | 7.0% |
| 17 Jul 2024 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 575.98 |
| fafw | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
wewre
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-12-july-19
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