Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 32% on 11 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 11 May 2024 to 17 May 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 12 May 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 17 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 11% on 14 May 2024. $91.23K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 4:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 May 2024 – 17 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2024 | 32.0% |
| 17 May 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://www.xtracker.io/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-elon-musk-tweets-between-may-10-and-may-17
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