Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 2 Sep 2024, the highest close was 9% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points down, to 1.8% on 1 Sep 2024. $44.79K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 2 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 9.0% |
| 2 Sep 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.86K |
| Ivory Meteor 70FF | Yes | 2.11K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.55K |
| grimskiera | Yes | 118 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 30-Sept 6?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-30-sept-6
| kristjanahjartar | Yes | 113 |
| fanee | Yes | 104 |
| ART86 | Yes | 20.98 |
| Kaito | No | 0.03 |
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