Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.2%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 25 Jul 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 21 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 8.5% on 22 Jul 2024. $19.16K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 1:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 25 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 9.5% |
| 25 Jul 2024 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.08K |
| Sharp-Heritage | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asda
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-19-26
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