Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.7%. Yes opened at 8% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2024 to 12 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 11 Jul 2024 and the lowest 3.1% on 10 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 50% on 11 Jul 2024. $9.57K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 7:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jul 2024 – 12 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 8.0% |
| 12 Jul 2024 | 36.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.47K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asdas
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-5-july-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
