
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 28 Mar 2025, the highest close was 5.8% on 23 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Mar 2025. $294.4K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 3:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 28 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 2.9% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 201K |
| A490 | Yes | 6.57K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 2.7K |
| Brando22 | Yes | 1.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between March 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-mar-21-28
| GOku | Yes | 1.22K |
| csc | Yes | 400 |
| Delicious9 | Yes | 279.41 |
| seji | Yes | 100 |
| LucBchr | Yes | 97.83 |
| jania567lizette | Yes | 0.06 |
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