Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 8% on 9 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points down, to 0.1% on 10 Jan 2025. $218.6K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 7:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 10 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 108.37K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 5.18K |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 2K |
| LoraK | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between January 3 and January 10.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-3-10-continued
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| cobake | Yes | 169.49 |
| StellarVino | Yes | 88 |
| jenny-s | No | 5.21 |
| JP97 | No | 0.01 |
| Sassy1 | No | 0.01 |
| megagrim | No | 0.01 |
