Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 30% on 13 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2024 to 16 Jul 2024, the highest close was 30% on 13 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1% on 16 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 12% on 14 Jul 2024. $2.89K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 7:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 13 Jul 2024 – 16 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | 30.0% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 575.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-12-july-19
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