Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 10-17?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 17, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 17, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 5.1% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2025 to 17 Jan 2025, the highest close was 5.1% on 14 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Jan 2025. $11.27K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 3:38 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Jan 2025	5.1%
17 Jan 2025	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	26.07K
LoraK	Yes	82.05
Swift Orbit 3CE8	Yes	50
Azure Quasar B242	Yes	10

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 500 (inclusive) and 524 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.