Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 6 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2024 to 11 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 9 Jul 2024 and the lowest 28% on 6 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 50% on 9 Jul 2024. $4.63K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 5:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 6 Jul 2024 – 11 Jul 2024, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2024 | 28.0% |
| 11 Jul 2024 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.47K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asdas
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-5-july-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
