Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 30 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Nov 2024 to 6 Dec 2024, the highest close was 25% on 30 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 12% on 1 Dec 2024. $54.22K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 3:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Nov 2024 – 6 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2024 | 25.0% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.98K |
| demidovadasha | Yes | 219.12 |
| MustiFustii | Yes | 176.36 |
| Half-Congressperson | Yes | 36.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 29 and December 6.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-29-dec-6
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
