Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 6% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 8 Nov 2024, the highest close was 16% on 5 Nov 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 5.5% on 7 Nov 2024. $34.4K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 9, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 8 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 6.0% |
| 8 Nov 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.08K |
| lwanq | Yes | 2K |
| ppaq | Yes | 1.51K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 905.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from November 1 to November 8.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-1-8
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Spyro560 | Yes | 405.95 |
| 28jim | Yes | 278.33 |
| Duktail | Yes | 145.5 |
| YiumPotato | Yes | 82.01 |
| MOKOUR | Yes | 10 |
| Siahav | Yes | 8.16 |
