Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 31 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6.5% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jan 2025. $205.9K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 6:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 31 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | 6.5% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 282.54K |
| Dorkus | Yes | 18.05K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.5K |
| marshmiksa | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31
| enochsmiles | Yes | 1K |
| Kotobirb | Yes | 200 |
| Heshgames | Yes | 20.68 |
| LoraK | Yes | 10 |
| lolboy4D | Yes | 0.02 |
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