Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 20 Dec 2024, the highest close was 18.3% on 19 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.6% on 17 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 18.3% on 19 Dec 2024. $117.68K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 20 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 13.5% |
| 20 Dec 2024 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.42K |
| nbjhoi | Yes | 2K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 753.45 |
| kkkk12 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between December 13 and December 20.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-13-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| pld | Yes | 129.75 |
| nobrainpr | Yes | 66.67 |
| mmzxa | Yes | 20 |
| Poly24 | No | 0.07 |
| Cgftehi | No | 0.02 |
| KatArc | No | 0.01 |
