Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 14, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$506.1K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 14, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 9 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2025 to 14 Aug 2025, the highest close was 7.8% on 12 Aug 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 9 Aug 2025. $506.1K traded over the market's life.

105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 4:55 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Aug 2025 – 14 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–12%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Aug 2025	2.5%
14 Aug 2025	4.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	250.19K
timeone	Yes	12.09K
Bigfootdenver	Yes	6.81K
septemberego	Yes	6K

10 of 105 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 1, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 8, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk