Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2024 to 22 Nov 2024, the highest close was 34% on 21 Nov 2024 and the lowest 9.5% on 16 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 34% on 21 Nov 2024. $60.82K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 23, 6:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 22 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 9.5% |
| 22 Nov 2024 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.27K |
| rat2099 | Yes | 284.77 |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 90 |
| ksushanya | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 15 and November 22.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-15-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| MarryJan | Yes | 40 |
| American-moderna | Yes | 33.49 |
| ytho | No | 0.06 |
| marksman | No | 0.05 |
| Moneymonkey | Yes | 0.02 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 0.02 |
