Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 13% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 8 Jan 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 6 Jan 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 8 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.2 points down, to 3.4% on 8 Jan 2025. $411.81K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 9, 5:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 8 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 13.0% |
| 8 Jan 2025 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 101.17K |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 4K |
| Chima | Yes | 3.1K |
| Meezz | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 3 and January 10.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-3-january-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mmm2 | Yes | 1K |
| bdsas | Yes | 800 |
| Siziriv | Yes | 750.01 |
| jyz | Yes | 600.3 |
| LoraK | Yes | 499.99 |
| mhem | Yes | 390 |
