Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 27 Dec 2024, the highest close was 15.5% on 24 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 8% on 25 Dec 2024. $84.83K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 5:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 27 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 13.5% |
| 27 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 94.64K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.55K |
| xcaazp | Yes | 999.98 |
| jjjzxzx | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 20 and December 27.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-20-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BobT | Yes | 200 |
| TessMoore2231 | Yes | 148.06 |
| hungergames | Yes | 100 |
| yihubingxin | Yes | 53.06 |
| Emerald Falcon 810C | Yes | 35.91 |
| anon888 | Yes | 10 |
