Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 13-20?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 20, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$212.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 20, 2024 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 20 Dec 2024, the highest close was 28.2% on 19 Dec 2024 and the lowest 3% on 17 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 28.2% on 19 Dec 2024. $212.7K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 8:36 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 20 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Dec 2024	12.5%
20 Dec 2024	11.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	68.42K
tyyz	Yes	1.8K
Siziriv	Yes	750.73
nbjhoi	Yes	500

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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