Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 7.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 28 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2024 to 3 Jan 2025, the highest close was 7.9% on 3 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 2 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.3 points up, to 7.9% on 3 Jan 2025. $680.4K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2024 – 3 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2024 | 7.5% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 7.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 120.74K |
| TomGoodman | No | 500.99 |
| qejzua111 | No | 200 |
| LoraK | No | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 27 and January 3.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-27-january-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Uanve | No | 20.42 |
| Denis116k | No | 8.77 |
| gaRRRbine | No | 5.17 |
| polqerniod | No | 5 |
| catasus | Yes | 0.06 |
| Smile7 | Yes | 0.05 |
