Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2025 to 17 Jan 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.1% on 17 Jan 2025. $19.72K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | 16.0% |
| 17 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.07K |
| Swift Orbit 3CE8 | Yes | 62.3 |
| BagaganCyprus | Yes | 32.32 |
| eieio | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between January 10 and January 17.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-10-17-25-strikes
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