Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 27 Dec 2024, the highest close was 20.5% on 26 Dec 2024 and the lowest 7.5% on 22 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 17% on 25 Dec 2024. $186.4K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 7:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 27 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 8.5% |
| 27 Dec 2024 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 94.64K |
| Oiete | Yes | 1.2K |
| nmklqq | Yes | 1K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 750 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 20 and December 27.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-20-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xcaazp | Yes | 400 |
| Productive-Dust | Yes | 333.34 |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 200 |
| JamesDin | Yes | 100 |
| hungergames | Yes | 63.64 |
| anon888 | Yes | 10 |
