
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 23 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2025 to 29 Aug 2025, the highest close was 2.8% on 23 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Aug 2025. $205.8K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 7:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Aug 2025 – 29 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | 2.8% |
| 29 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.73M |
| LlamaEnjoyer | Yes | 1.05M |
| Abis1 | Yes | 6.48K |
| VibeTrader | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between August 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and August 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-22-29
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.82K |
| ghghgghghghghhghghh888 | Yes | 3.42K |
| dannyboy16 | Yes | 2.6K |
| KatinaMcgrath | Yes | 1.61K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.35K |
| moussa1 | Yes | 1.24K |
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