Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 19 Dec 2024, the highest close was 24.1% on 17 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 24.1% on 17 Dec 2024. $118.5K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 19 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 6.0% |
| 19 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.42K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3.95K |
| Vincent7890 | Yes | 184.72 |
| Imaginary-Streetcar | Yes | 118.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between December 13 and December 20.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-13-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 0mnipotent | Yes | 47.36 |
| JJLiu | Yes | 30 |
| KatArc | No | 0.07 |
| TungTungTungSAHUR | Yes | 0.07 |
| Cgftehi | No | 0.02 |
