Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 18 Oct 2024, the highest close was 6.5% on 12 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 17 Oct 2024. $14.45K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 18 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2024 | 6.5% |
| 18 Oct 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.2K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1K |
| sfeg | Yes | 183.71 |
| Wizardd | Yes | 70 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 11 and October 18.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-11-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Floralkid | Yes | 20 |
| omahaoracle | No | 0.08 |
| averageuser | Yes | 0.03 |
| Ordon | No | 0.02 |
