Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 16, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$351.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 16, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75.5%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 10 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 May 2025 to 16 May 2025, the highest close was 75.5% on 16 May 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 10 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 52% on 15 May 2025. $351.77K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 18, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 May 2025 – 16 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 May 2025	12.5%
16 May 2025	75.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	196.53K
Silver Horizon A97A	No	270
Emerald Meteor 8995	No	265
Keen Beacon 2A20	No	230

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 9, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 16, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.