Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 27 Sep 2024, the highest close was 48% on 25 Sep 2024 and the lowest 5% on 27 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26% on 26 Sep 2024. $32.46K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 7:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 27 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 21.5% |
| 27 Sep 2024 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.8K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 500 |
| juanjosemoneta | Yes | 150 |
| Robbiefullerton | Yes | 16.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-20-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| COCOLO-508 | Yes | 5.26 |
| dinorug | Yes | 1 |
| Distorted-Chainstay | Yes | 0.1 |
| CryptoBecu | Yes | 0.03 |
