Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 30 Oct 2024, the highest close was 13% on 26 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points down, to 3.6% on 29 Oct 2024. $12.94K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 11:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 30 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 13.0% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.12K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.6K |
| JPorker | Yes | 9.09 |
| Cosmic Beacon 9183 | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between October 25 and November 1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-25-nov-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Fanicity | Yes | 0.07 |
| MercMand | No | 0.07 |
| hasso422 | No | 0.05 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.03 |
| Poly24 | Yes | 0.03 |
