Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 14 Nov 2024, the highest close was 30% on 13 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.1% on 14 Nov 2024. $72.07K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 5:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 14 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 13.0% |
| 14 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.17K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.43K |
| IONLYBETONX | Yes | 500 |
| TimmyKojs | Yes | 289.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 8 and November 15.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-8-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| GodsGift | Yes | 220.65 |
| DRA | Yes | 78 |
| Bar0ck | Yes | 62.5 |
| karlob | Yes | 53.24 |
| shamatic | Yes | 50 |
| NCTY | Yes | 35.71 |
