Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the price held at 0.7%. $23.65K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 9:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 0.7% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.08K |
| joastian | Yes | 1.33K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.23K |
| Walt3 | Yes | 142.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from November 1 to November 8.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-1-8
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xeroxapp | Yes | 100 |
| wasbi | Yes | 86.15 |
| futurebillionaire | Yes | 12.5 |
| sayaman | Yes | 10 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.01 |
