Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.1%. Yes opened at 14% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 18 Oct 2024, the highest close was 14% on 12 Oct 2024 and the lowest 1.6% on 17 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points up, to 6.9% on 18 Oct 2024. $30.7K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 18 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2024 | 14.0% |
| 18 Oct 2024 | 6.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.2K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1K |
| Tadekelo | Yes | 655.08 |
| sfeg | Yes | 101.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 11 and October 18.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-11-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Sharp. | Yes | 100 |
| Floralkid | Yes | 30 |
| moldo | Yes | 10.89 |
| IdiotDoomSpiral | No | 0.09 |
| ewvervwrevwww11 | Yes | 0.09 |
| Cobalt Tide B2F5 | Yes | 0.09 |
