Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66.5%. Yes opened at 23% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 5 Sep 2024, the highest close was 33.5% on 5 Sep 2024 and the lowest 23% on 4 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 33.5% on 5 Sep 2024. $8.44K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 5 Sep 2024, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 23.0% |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.44K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 463.43 |
| Donke | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of posts made by Elon Musk between August 30 and September 6.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-posts-august-30-sept-6
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
