Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 29 Oct 2024, the highest close was 13.5% on 27 Oct 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 29 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 3.5% on 28 Oct 2024. $43.89K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 29 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 7.5% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.12K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.65K |
| solerul | Yes | 75 |
| lyqbb | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between October 25 and November 1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-25-nov-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| skibidicris | Yes | 45.45 |
| Cosmic Beacon 9183 | Yes | 8 |
| MercMand | No | 0.07 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.03 |
| Tehgameguy | No | 0.01 |
