Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 14 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2025 to 20 Jun 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 14 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jun 2025. $219.7K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Jun 2025 – 20 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2025 | 10.5% |
| 20 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 297.63K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 4.77K |
| Xamze | Yes | 1.31K |
| CnCo | Yes | 999.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between June 13, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-13-20
| Yutaa | Yes | 499.95 |
| nuryaan | Yes | 153.85 |
| rusxoghks | Yes | 100 |
| mahad75 | Yes | 80.58 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 50.01 |
| Nayah | Yes | 33.33 |
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