
Resolved Yes on 27 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 27 Sep 2024, the highest close was 37% on 26 Sep 2024 and the lowest 8% on 24 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 37% on 26 Sep 2024. $38.31K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 5:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 27 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 19.5% |
| 27 Sep 2024 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.8K |
| ddxdxd | No | 90.56 |
| Bdleoy | No | 1.28 |
| Kilorth | No | 0.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-20-27
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| Samuraisi | No | 0.08 |
| daval | Yes | 0.07 |
| koks | Yes | 0.06 |
| bosss-759 | Yes | 0.06 |
| rena.yandex | Yes | 0.06 |
| cigarettes | No | 0.02 |